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Championship · Matchday 43Saturday 17 April · 15:00 · The Hawthorns
West Bromwich Albion5th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Middlesbrough1st place
WBA 30%X 28%MID 42%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Middlesbrough lead by 83 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Middlesbrough 1.2, West Bromwich Albion 0.2.
  • If West Bromwich Albion score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Middlesbrough score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.4
Over 2.547%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Middlesbrough win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
130%3.31X28%3.55242%2.40
Double chance
1X58%1.71X270%1.431272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.547%2.12Under 2.553%1.89BTTS yes53%1.90BTTS no47%2.11

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: West Bromwich Albion · Columns: Middlesbrough1-1 probability 13.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Middlesbrough – West Bromwich Albion29 August 20263-1
West Bromwich Albion – Middlesbrough16 January 20262-3
Middlesbrough – West Bromwich Albion19 September 20252-1
Middlesbrough – West Bromwich Albion21 January 20252-0
West Bromwich Albion – Middlesbrough1 October 20240-1
Middlesbrough – West Bromwich Albion23 December 20231-0