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Championship · Matchday 36Saturday 6 March · 15:00 · London Stadium
West Ham8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Burnley22nd place
WHU 55%X 24%BUR 21%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: West Ham 0.9, Burnley -0.2.
  • If West Ham score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Burnley score first, they win 47% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.2 – 1.3
Over 2.568%
Both teams score66%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
155%1.82X24%4.18221%4.70
Double chance
1X79%1.27X245%2.211276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.568%1.46Under 2.532%3.17BTTS yes66%1.51BTTS no34%2.96

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: West Ham · Columns: Burnley2-1 probability 9.4%

Form

Compare →
BurnleyWDLLD

Head to head

Burnley – West Ham16 August 20262-2
Burnley – West Ham7 February 20260-2
West Ham – Burnley8 November 20253-2
West Ham – Burnley10 March 20242-2
Burnley – West Ham25 November 20231-2
West Ham – Burnley17 April 20221-1