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Championship · Matchday 28Wednesday 27 January · 19:45 · London Stadium
West Ham8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Cardiff City17th place
WHU 62%X 21%CAR 17%

Prediction

Key factors
  • West Ham lead by 96 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: West Ham 0.9, Cardiff City 0.2.
  • If West Ham score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Cardiff City score first, they win 40% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.5 – 1.3
Over 2.574%
Both teams score68%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
162%1.61X21%4.69217%6.01
Double chance
1X83%1.20X238%2.641279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.574%1.35Under 2.526%3.88BTTS yes68%1.46BTTS no32%3.16

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
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3
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5
Rows: West Ham · Columns: Cardiff City2-1 probability 8.9%

Form

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