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Championship · Matchday 38Wednesday 17 March · 19:45 · London Stadium
West Ham8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Sheffield United10th place
WHU 53%X 25%SHU 22%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: West Ham 0.9, Sheffield United -0.2.
  • If West Ham score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Sheffield United score first, they win 48% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.1 – 1.3
Over 2.566%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a West Ham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
153%1.87X25%4.06222%4.55
Double chance
1X78%1.28X247%2.141275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.566%1.52Under 2.534%2.91BTTS yes64%1.55BTTS no36%2.81

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: West Ham · Columns: Sheffield United1-1 probability 9.9%

Form

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Head to head

Sheffield United – West Ham21 January 20242-2
West Ham – Sheffield United30 September 20232-0