TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 43Saturday 17 April · 15:00 · London Stadium
West Ham8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Watford21st place
WHU 65%X 21%WAT 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • West Ham lead by 140 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: West Ham 0.9, Watford -0.9.
  • If West Ham score first, they win 84% of the time
  • If Watford score first, they win 38% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.4 – 1.1
Over 2.569%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
165%1.53X21%4.82214%7.23
Double chance
1X86%1.16X235%2.891279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.569%1.45Under 2.531%3.21BTTS yes62%1.62BTTS no38%2.61

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: West Ham · Columns: Watford2-1 probability 9.5%

Form

Compare →
WatfordLLWLL

Head to head

Watford – West Ham29 August 20261-1
West Ham – Watford8 February 20221-0
Watford – West Ham28 December 20211-4