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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 28Wednesday 27 January · 19:45 · Molineux Stadium
Wolverhampton4th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Bristol City14th place
WOL 52%X 26%BRC 22%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Wolverhampton 2.0 points per game, Bristol City 1.0.
  • If Wolverhampton score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Bristol City score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.0
Over 2.549%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Wolverhampton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
152%1.92X26%3.81222%4.62
Double chance
1X78%1.28X248%2.091274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.549%2.02Under 2.551%1.98BTTS yes52%1.93BTTS no48%2.07

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Wolverhampton · Columns: Bristol City1-1 probability 12.4%

Form

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