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Championship · Matchday 29Saturday 30 January · 15:00 · Molineux Stadium
Wolverhampton4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Wrexham18th place
WOL 53%X 26%WRE 21%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Wolverhampton 2.0 points per game, Wrexham 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Wolverhampton 0.7, Wrexham -0.3.
  • If Wolverhampton score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Wrexham score first, they win 51% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.1
Over 2.554%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Wolverhampton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
153%1.90X26%3.84221%4.72
Double chance
1X79%1.27X247%2.121274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.554%1.84Under 2.546%2.19BTTS yes55%1.81BTTS no45%2.24

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Wolverhampton · Columns: Wrexham1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

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