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Championship · Matchday 25Friday 1 January · 15:00 · SToK Cae Ras
Wrexham18th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Bolton Wanderers19th place
WRE 56%X 24%BOL 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Wrexham lead by 68 rating points.
  • If Wrexham score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Bolton Wanderers score first, they win 47% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.1
Over 2.561%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Wrexham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
156%1.78X24%4.10220%5.13
Double chance
1X81%1.24X244%2.281276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.561%1.63Under 2.539%2.59BTTS yes60%1.67BTTS no40%2.50

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Wrexham · Columns: Bolton Wanderers1-1 probability 10.4%

Form

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