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Championship · Matchday 36Saturday 6 March · 15:00 · SToK Cae Ras
Wrexham18th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Cardiff City17th place
WRE 47%X 27%CAR 26%

Prediction

  • If Wrexham score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Cardiff City score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.2
Over 2.555%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Wrexham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
147%2.11X27%3.74226%3.86
Double chance
1X74%1.35X253%1.901273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.555%1.81Under 2.545%2.23BTTS yes58%1.73BTTS no42%2.37

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Wrexham · Columns: Cardiff City1-1 probability 12.1%

Form

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Head to head

Cardiff City – Wrexham17 August 20261-1