TR
Picks
Championship · Matchday 22Saturday 19 December · 15:00 · SToK Cae Ras
Wrexham18th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
QPR9th place
WRE 37%X 29%QPR 35%

Prediction

  • If Wrexham score first, they win 66% of the time
  • If QPR score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.4
Over 2.552%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Wrexham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.74X29%3.49235%2.87
Double chance
1X65%1.53X263%1.581271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.552%1.91Under 2.548%2.10BTTS yes57%1.75BTTS no43%2.33

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Wrexham · Columns: QPR1-1 probability 12.9%
WrexhamDLWLL
QPRDWLWL

Head to head

QPR – Wrexham24 January 20262-3
Wrexham – QPR13 September 20251-3