TR
Picks
La Liga · Matchday 31Sunday 11 April · 16:00 · Estadio de Mendizorroza
Alavés11th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Real Betis4th place
ALA 37%X 28%BET 35%

Prediction

  • If Alavés score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Real Betis score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.3
Over 2.551%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Alavés win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.67X28%3.61235%2.87
Double chance
1X65%1.53X263%1.601272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.551%1.98Under 2.549%2.02BTTS yes56%1.80BTTS no44%2.25

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Alavés · Columns: Real Betis1-1 probability 13.1%

Head to head

Alavés – Real Betis25 January 20262-1
Real Betis – Alavés22 August 20251-0
Real Betis – Alavés18 January 20251-3
Alavés – Real Betis25 August 20240-0
Real Betis – Alavés18 February 20240-0
Alavés – Real Betis8 October 20231-1