TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
La Liga · Matchday 31Sunday 11 April · 16:00 · Estadio de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano11th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Real Sociedad5th place
RAY 47%X 26%RSO 26%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Rayo Vallecano take 2.1 points per game at home.
  • If Rayo Vallecano score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Real Sociedad score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.2
Over 2.554%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Rayo Vallecano win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
147%2.12X26%3.78226%3.81
Double chance
1X74%1.36X253%1.901274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.554%1.86Under 2.546%2.16BTTS yes57%1.76BTTS no43%2.31

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rayo Vallecano · Columns: Real Sociedad1-1 probability 12.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Rayo Vallecano – Real Sociedad26 April 20263-3
Real Sociedad – Rayo Vallecano5 October 20250-1
Rayo Vallecano – Real Sociedad16 March 20252-2
Real Sociedad – Rayo Vallecano18 August 20241-2
Real Sociedad – Rayo Vallecano27 January 20240-0
Rayo Vallecano – Real Sociedad29 October 20232-2