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La Liga · Matchday 31Sunday 11 April · 16:00 · Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna15th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Real Madrid3rd place
OSA 14%X 20%RMA 66%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Real Madrid lead by 293 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Real Madrid 2.4 points per game, Osasuna 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Real Madrid 1.4, Osasuna 0.0.
  • If Osasuna score first, they win 39% of the time
  • If Real Madrid score first, they win 85% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals0.9 – 2.1
Over 2.557%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
114%7.19X20%4.93266%1.52
Double chance
1X34%2.92X286%1.161280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.557%1.77Under 2.543%2.30BTTS yes51%1.96BTTS no49%2.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Osasuna · Columns: Real Madrid0-2 probability 11.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Osasuna – Real Madrid21 February 20262-1
Real Madrid – Osasuna19 August 20251-0
Osasuna – Real Madrid15 February 20251-1
Real Madrid – Osasuna9 November 20244-0
Osasuna – Real Madrid16 March 20242-4
Real Madrid – Osasuna7 October 20234-0