TR
Picks
La Liga · Matchday 31Sunday 11 April · 16:00 · Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia19th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Getafe13th place
VAL 44%X 31%GET 25%

Prediction

  • If Valencia score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Getafe score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 14%
Expected goals1.2 – 0.8
Over 2.533%
Both teams score40%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.28X31%3.23225%3.95
Double chance
1X75%1.34X256%1.781269%1.45
Goals
Over 2.533%3.05Under 2.567%1.49BTTS yes40%2.49BTTS no60%1.67

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Valencia · Columns: Getafe1-0 probability 14.9%
GetafeWLDLW

Head to head

Getafe – Valencia18 January 20260-1
Valencia – Getafe29 August 20253-0
Valencia – Getafe10 May 20253-0
Getafe – Valencia27 October 20241-1
Valencia – Getafe9 March 20241-0
Getafe – Valencia8 December 20231-0