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La Liga · Matchday 31Sunday 11 April · 16:00 · Campos de Sport de El Sardinero
Racing Santander16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-3High confidence
Barcelona1st place
RAC 6%X 11%BAR 83%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Barcelona lead by 375 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Barcelona 2.2, Racing Santander -1.1.
  • Last 5 games: Barcelona 2.4 points per game, Racing Santander 0.8.
  • If Racing Santander score first, they win 19% of the time
  • If Barcelona score first, they win 92% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 1%
Expected goals1.2 – 3.9
Over 2.588%
Both teams score70%
Likeliest score1-3
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
16%15.77X11%9.22283%1.21
Double chance
1X17%5.82X294%1.071289%1.12
Goals
Over 2.588%1.13Under 2.512%8.64BTTS yes70%1.44BTTS no30%3.29

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
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Rows: Racing Santander · Columns: Barcelona1-3 probability 7.2%

Form

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Head to head

Barcelona – Racing Santander16 September 20267-2