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La Liga · Matchday 31Sunday 11 April · 16:00 · RCDE Stadium
Espanyol14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Málaga20th place
ESP 56%X 25%MAL 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Espanyol lead by 72 rating points.
  • If Espanyol score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Málaga score first, they win 49% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.8
Over 2.546%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
156%1.78X25%3.93218%5.49
Double chance
1X82%1.22X244%2.291275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.546%2.18Under 2.554%1.85BTTS yes47%2.13BTTS no53%1.88

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Espanyol · Columns: Málaga1-0 probability 12.8%

Form

Compare →
MálagaLDLDL

Head to head

Málaga – Espanyol9 October 20261-1