TR
Picks
La Liga · Matchday 31Sunday 11 April · 16:00 · Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Sevilla6th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Deportivo13th place
SEV 48%X 28%DEP 24%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Sevilla take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Sevilla score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Deportivo score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.0
Over 2.548%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Sevilla win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.09X28%3.59224%4.14
Double chance
1X76%1.32X252%1.921272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.548%2.08Under 2.552%1.92BTTS yes52%1.93BTTS no48%2.08

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sevilla · Columns: Deportivo1-1 probability 12.9%

Head to head

Deportivo – Sevilla16 September 20260-1