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La Liga · Matchday 31Sunday 11 April · 16:00 · Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Atlético Madrid2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Levante18th place
ATM 69%X 20%LEV 11%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Atlético Madrid lead by 189 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Atlético Madrid 3.0 points per game, Levante 1.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Atlético Madrid 0.5, Levante -0.5.
  • If Atlético Madrid score first, they win 87% of the time
  • If Levante score first, they win 36% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.3 – 0.8
Over 2.561%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
169%1.45X20%5.10211%8.86
Double chance
1X89%1.13X231%3.241280%1.24
Goals
Over 2.561%1.64Under 2.539%2.55BTTS yes52%1.92BTTS no48%2.08

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Atlético Madrid · Columns: Levante2-0 probability 11.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Levante – Atlético Madrid31 October 20260-2
Levante – Atlético Madrid31 January 20260-0
Atlético Madrid – Levante8 November 20253-1
Atlético Madrid – Levante16 February 20220-1
Levante – Atlético Madrid28 October 20212-2