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La Liga · Matchday 31Sunday 11 April · 16:00 · Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
Celta Vigo9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Elche17th place
CEL 48%X 28%ELC 24%

Prediction

  • If Celta Vigo score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Elche score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.0
Over 2.547%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Celta Vigo win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.07X28%3.62224%4.15
Double chance
1X76%1.32X252%1.931272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.547%2.13Under 2.553%1.88BTTS yes51%1.97BTTS no49%2.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Celta Vigo · Columns: Elche1-1 probability 13.0%

Form

Compare →
ElcheWDDWL

Head to head

Elche – Celta Vigo11 October 20260-0
Celta Vigo – Elche3 May 20263-1
Elche – Celta Vigo28 September 20252-1
Celta Vigo – Elche26 April 20231-0
Elche – Celta Vigo6 January 20230-1
Celta Vigo – Elche15 May 20221-0