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La Liga · Matchday 23Sunday 7 February · 16:00 · Estadio de Mendizorroza
Alavés11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Celta Vigo10th place
ALA 43%X 29%CEL 28%

Prediction

  • If Alavés score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Celta Vigo score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.0
Over 2.543%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Alavés win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.32X29%3.45228%3.58
Double chance
1X72%1.39X257%1.761271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.543%2.31Under 2.557%1.76BTTS yes49%2.03BTTS no51%1.97

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Alavés · Columns: Celta Vigo1-1 probability 13.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Celta Vigo – Alavés18 October 20262-1
Celta Vigo – Alavés22 March 20263-4
Alavés – Celta Vigo22 November 20250-1
Alavés – Celta Vigo27 January 20251-1
Celta Vigo – Alavés16 August 20242-1
Alavés – Celta Vigo27 April 20243-0