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La Liga · Matchday 23Sunday 7 February · 16:00 · San Mamés Barria
Athletic Bilbao7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Osasuna15th place
ATH 56%X 25%OSA 19%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Athletic Bilbao lead by 88 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Athletic Bilbao 1.6 points per game, Osasuna 0.8.
  • If Athletic Bilbao score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Osasuna score first, they win 49% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.9
Over 2.548%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Athletic Bilbao win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
156%1.79X25%3.96219%5.29
Double chance
1X81%1.23X244%2.261275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.548%2.10Under 2.552%1.91BTTS yes49%2.05BTTS no51%1.95

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Athletic Bilbao · Columns: Osasuna1-1 probability 12.2%

Form

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Head to head

Athletic Bilbao – Osasuna21 April 20261-0
Osasuna – Athletic Bilbao3 January 20261-1
Athletic Bilbao – Osasuna30 March 20250-0
Osasuna – Athletic Bilbao21 December 20241-2
Athletic Bilbao – Osasuna11 May 20242-2
Osasuna – Athletic Bilbao19 August 20230-2