TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
La Liga · Matchday 23Sunday 7 February · 16:00 · RCDE Stadium
Espanyol14th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Rayo Vallecano11th place
ESP 35%X 29%RAY 36%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Rayo Vallecano 1.6 points per game, Espanyol 0.8.
  • If Espanyol score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Rayo Vallecano score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.2
Over 2.542%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Rayo Vallecano win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.86X29%3.44236%2.78
Double chance
1X64%1.56X265%1.541271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.542%2.36Under 2.558%1.74BTTS yes49%2.03BTTS no51%1.97

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Espanyol · Columns: Rayo Vallecano1-1 probability 14.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Rayo Vallecano – Espanyol15 September 20262-1
Rayo Vallecano – Espanyol23 April 20261-0
Espanyol – Rayo Vallecano7 December 20251-0
Rayo Vallecano – Espanyol4 April 20250-4
Espanyol – Rayo Vallecano31 August 20242-1
Rayo Vallecano – Espanyol21 May 20231-2