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La Liga · Matchday 23Sunday 7 February · 16:00 · Estadio Coliseum
Getafe12th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Villarreal8th place
GET 25%X 29%VIL 46%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Villarreal 1.1, Getafe -0.5.
  • Villarreal lead by 89 rating points.
  • If Getafe score first, they win 59% of the time
  • If Villarreal score first, they win 76% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals0.9 – 1.4
Over 2.540%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Villarreal win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
125%3.95X29%3.47246%2.18
Double chance
1X54%1.85X275%1.341271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.540%2.51Under 2.560%1.66BTTS yes46%2.18BTTS no54%1.84

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Getafe · Columns: Villarreal1-1 probability 13.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Getafe – Villarreal14 February 20262-1
Villarreal – Getafe6 December 20252-0
Getafe – Villarreal30 March 20251-2
Villarreal – Getafe20 October 20241-1
Villarreal – Getafe16 February 20241-1
Getafe – Villarreal30 September 20230-0