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La Liga · Matchday 23Sunday 7 February · 16:00 · Estadio Abanca-Riazor
Deportivo13th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Málaga20th place
DEP 57%X 25%MAL 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Deportivo lead by 70 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Deportivo -0.0, Málaga -0.8.
  • If Deportivo score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Málaga score first, they win 48% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.8
Over 2.547%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
157%1.75X25%3.97218%5.66
Double chance
1X82%1.21X243%2.341275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.547%2.12Under 2.553%1.89BTTS yes48%2.10BTTS no52%1.91

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Deportivo · Columns: Málaga1-0 probability 12.4%

Form

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Head to head

Málaga – Deportivo24 August 20261-1