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La Liga · Matchday 23Sunday 7 February · 16:00 · Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia19th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Racing Santander16th place
VAL 58%X 24%RAC 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Valencia lead by 64 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Valencia -0.5, Racing Santander -1.1.
  • If Valencia score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Racing Santander score first, they win 45% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.1 – 1.1
Over 2.561%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Valencia win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
158%1.71X24%4.24218%5.55
Double chance
1X82%1.22X242%2.401276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.561%1.63Under 2.539%2.60BTTS yes59%1.69BTTS no41%2.44

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Valencia · Columns: Racing Santander1-1 probability 10.2%

Form

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Head to head

Racing Santander – Valencia11 October 20262-2