TR
Picks
La Liga · Matchday 23Sunday 7 February · 16:00 · Estadio Martínez Valero
Elche17th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Levante18th place
ELC 47%X 27%LEV 27%

Prediction

  • If Elche score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Levante score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.2
Over 2.555%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Elche win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
147%2.14X27%3.75227%3.75
Double chance
1X73%1.36X253%1.871273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.555%1.80Under 2.545%2.25BTTS yes58%1.72BTTS no42%2.39

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Elche · Columns: Levante1-1 probability 12.1%
ElcheWDDWL
LevanteDDWLL

Head to head

Levante – Elche23 January 20263-2
Elche – Levante29 August 20252-0
Levante – Elche25 February 20223-0
Elche – Levante18 September 20211-1