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La Liga · Matchday 23Sunday 7 February · 16:00 · Estadio de La Cartuja
Real Betis4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Sevilla6th place
BET 56%X 25%SEV 19%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Real Betis lead by 107 rating points.
  • Real Betis take 2.5 points per game at home.
  • Last 5 games: Real Betis 1.6 points per game, Sevilla 0.8.
  • If Real Betis score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Sevilla score first, they win 48% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.1
Over 2.556%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Real Betis win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
156%1.80X25%4.00219%5.15
Double chance
1X81%1.24X244%2.251275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.556%1.78Under 2.544%2.29BTTS yes56%1.79BTTS no44%2.27

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Real Betis · Columns: Sevilla1-1 probability 11.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Real Betis – Sevilla1 March 20262-2
Sevilla – Real Betis30 November 20250-2
Real Betis – Sevilla30 March 20252-1
Sevilla – Real Betis6 October 20241-0
Real Betis – Sevilla28 April 20241-1
Sevilla – Real Betis12 November 20231-1