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La Liga · Matchday 13Sunday 22 November · 16:00 · Estadio de Mendizorroza
Alavés10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Deportivo13th place
ALA 48%X 28%DEP 24%

Prediction

  • If Alavés score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Deportivo score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.0
Over 2.545%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Alavés win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.07X28%3.59224%4.21
Double chance
1X76%1.31X252%1.941272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.545%2.23Under 2.555%1.82BTTS yes49%2.03BTTS no51%1.97

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Alavés · Columns: Deportivo1-1 probability 13.2%

Form

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