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La Liga · Matchday 13Sunday 22 November · 16:00 · Campos de Sport de El Sardinero
Racing Santander16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Real Sociedad5th place
RAC 29%X 24%RSO 47%

What does the market say?

Racing SantanderDrawReal SociedadRinvalo29%24%47%
Market31%25%44%

✓ Agree · both back Real Sociedad

Prediction

Key factors
  • Real Sociedad lead by 109 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Real Sociedad 2.4 points per game, Racing Santander 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Real Sociedad -0.3, Racing Santander -1.1.
  • The market also backs the away side (44%).
  • If Racing Santander score first, they win 54% of the time
  • If Real Sociedad score first, they win 70% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals1.7 – 2.1
Over 2.574%
Both teams score73%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
129%3.46X24%4.11247%2.14
Double chance
1X53%1.88X271%1.411276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.574%1.35Under 2.526%3.82BTTS yes73%1.38BTTS no27%3.66

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
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5
Rows: Racing Santander · Columns: Real Sociedad1-2 probability 8.4%

Form

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