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La Liga · Matchday 13Sunday 22 November · 16:00 · Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Sevilla6th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Real Betis4th place
SEV 35%X 28%BET 37%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Real Betis lead by 107 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Real Betis 1.6 points per game, Sevilla 0.8.
  • Derby match.
  • If Sevilla score first, they win 64% of the time
  • If Real Betis score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.4
Over 2.554%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Real Betis win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.82X28%3.61237%2.71
Double chance
1X63%1.58X265%1.551272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.554%1.87Under 2.546%2.15BTTS yes58%1.73BTTS no42%2.38

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sevilla · Columns: Real Betis1-1 probability 12.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Real Betis – Sevilla1 March 20262-2
Sevilla – Real Betis30 November 20250-2
Real Betis – Sevilla30 March 20252-1
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Real Betis – Sevilla28 April 20241-1
Sevilla – Real Betis12 November 20231-1