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La Liga · Matchday 13Sunday 22 November · 16:00 · San Mamés Barria
Athletic Bilbao7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Espanyol14th place
ATH 57%X 25%ESP 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Athletic Bilbao 0.4, Espanyol -0.5.
  • Last 5 games: Athletic Bilbao 1.6 points per game, Espanyol 0.8.
  • If Athletic Bilbao score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Espanyol score first, they win 49% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.8
Over 2.544%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
157%1.74X25%4.00218%5.70
Double chance
1X82%1.21X243%2.351275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.544%2.26Under 2.556%1.79BTTS yes45%2.22BTTS no55%1.82

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Athletic Bilbao · Columns: Espanyol1-0 probability 13.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Espanyol – Athletic Bilbao13 May 20262-0
Athletic Bilbao – Espanyol22 December 20251-2
Espanyol – Athletic Bilbao16 February 20251-1
Athletic Bilbao – Espanyol19 October 20244-1
Espanyol – Athletic Bilbao8 April 20231-2
Athletic Bilbao – Espanyol4 September 20220-1