TR
Picks
La Liga · Matchday 13Sunday 22 November · 16:00 · Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Levante18th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Elche17th place
LEV 45%X 27%ELC 28%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Levante take 2.1 points per game at home.
  • If Levante score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Elche score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.3
Over 2.555%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Levante win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
145%2.20X27%3.73228%3.60
Double chance
1X72%1.38X255%1.831273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.555%1.81Under 2.545%2.24BTTS yes58%1.71BTTS no42%2.40

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Levante · Columns: Elche1-1 probability 12.2%
LevanteDDWLL
ElcheWDDWL

Head to head

Levante – Elche23 January 20263-2
Elche – Levante29 August 20252-0
Levante – Elche25 February 20223-0
Elche – Levante18 September 20211-1