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La Liga · Matchday 13Sunday 22 November · 16:00 · Estadio de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Valencia19th place
RAY 51%X 27%VAL 22%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Rayo Vallecano take 2.1 points per game at home.
  • If Rayo Vallecano score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Valencia score first, they win 54% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.5 – 0.9
Over 2.543%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Rayo Vallecano win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
151%1.95X27%3.69222%4.62
Double chance
1X78%1.28X249%2.051273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.543%2.32Under 2.557%1.76BTTS yes47%2.14BTTS no53%1.88

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rayo Vallecano · Columns: Valencia1-1 probability 13.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Valencia – Rayo Vallecano14 May 20261-1
Rayo Vallecano – Valencia1 December 20251-1
Rayo Vallecano – Valencia19 April 20251-1
Valencia – Rayo Vallecano7 December 20240-1
Valencia – Rayo Vallecano12 May 20240-0
Rayo Vallecano – Valencia19 December 20230-1