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La Liga · Matchday 32Sunday 18 April · 16:00 · Estadio de Mendizorroza
Alavés10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Rayo Vallecano11th place
ALA 42%X 28%RAY 30%

Prediction

  • If Alavés score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Rayo Vallecano score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.545%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Alavés win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.39X28%3.52230%3.36
Double chance
1X70%1.42X258%1.721272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.545%2.21Under 2.555%1.82BTTS yes51%1.96BTTS no49%2.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Alavés · Columns: Rayo Vallecano1-1 probability 13.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Rayo Vallecano – Alavés20 August 20261-1
Alavés – Rayo Vallecano23 May 20261-2
Rayo Vallecano – Alavés26 October 20251-0
Alavés – Rayo Vallecano29 March 20250-2
Rayo Vallecano – Alavés26 October 20241-0
Alavés – Rayo Vallecano10 March 20241-0