TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
La Liga · Matchday 32Sunday 18 April · 16:00 · Estadio La Rosaleda
Málaga20th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Valencia19th place
MAL 30%X 29%VAL 41%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Valencia lead by 89 rating points.
  • If Málaga score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Valencia score first, they win 72% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.3
Over 2.542%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Valencia win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
130%3.34X29%3.42241%2.45
Double chance
1X59%1.69X270%1.431271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.542%2.41Under 2.558%1.71BTTS yes48%2.08BTTS no52%1.93

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Málaga · Columns: Valencia1-1 probability 14.0%

Form

Compare →
MálagaLDLDL