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La Liga · Matchday 32Sunday 18 April · 16:00 · Reale Arena
Real Sociedad5th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Racing Santander16th place
RSO 67%X 20%RAC 13%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Real Sociedad lead by 109 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Real Sociedad 2.4 points per game, Racing Santander 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Real Sociedad -0.3, Racing Santander -1.1.
  • If Real Sociedad score first, they win 84% of the time
  • If Racing Santander score first, they win 35% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals2.8 – 1.3
Over 2.578%
Both teams score69%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
167%1.49X20%5.10213%7.42
Double chance
1X87%1.16X233%3.021280%1.24
Goals
Over 2.578%1.29Under 2.522%4.47BTTS yes69%1.45BTTS no31%3.22

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Real Sociedad · Columns: Racing Santander2-1 probability 8.4%

Form

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