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La Liga · Matchday 32Sunday 18 April · 16:00 · Estadio de La Cartuja
Real Betis4th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Athletic Bilbao7th place
BET 47%X 27%ATH 26%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Real Betis lead by 69 rating points.
  • Real Betis take 2.5 points per game at home.
  • If Real Betis score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Athletic Bilbao score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.549%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Real Betis win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
147%2.12X27%3.70226%3.87
Double chance
1X74%1.35X253%1.891273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.549%2.03Under 2.551%1.97BTTS yes53%1.88BTTS no47%2.14

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Real Betis · Columns: Athletic Bilbao1-1 probability 12.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Athletic Bilbao – Real Betis22 March 20262-1
Real Betis – Athletic Bilbao31 August 20251-2
Real Betis – Athletic Bilbao2 February 20252-2
Athletic Bilbao – Real Betis3 November 20241-1
Real Betis – Athletic Bilbao25 February 20243-1
Athletic Bilbao – Real Betis27 August 20234-2