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La Liga · Matchday 32Sunday 18 April · 16:00 · Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Levante18th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Villarreal8th place
LEV 29%X 26%VIL 45%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Villarreal 1.1, Levante -0.5.
  • Villarreal lead by 91 rating points.
  • If Levante score first, they win 57% of the time
  • If Villarreal score first, they win 70% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.7
Over 2.559%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Villarreal win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
129%3.45X26%3.78245%2.25
Double chance
1X55%1.80X271%1.411274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.559%1.70Under 2.541%2.43BTTS yes61%1.63BTTS no39%2.58

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Levante · Columns: Villarreal1-1 probability 11.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Villarreal – Levante20 September 20263-1
Villarreal – Levante2 May 20265-1
Levante – Villarreal18 February 20260-1
Levante – Villarreal2 April 20222-0
Villarreal – Levante3 January 20225-0