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La Liga · Matchday 32Sunday 18 April · 16:00 · Estadio Coliseum
Getafe12th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1High confidence
Real Madrid3rd place
GET 13%X 22%RMA 65%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Real Madrid lead by 251 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Real Madrid 1.4, Getafe -0.5.
  • Last 5 games: Real Madrid 2.4 points per game, Getafe 1.4.
  • If Getafe score first, they win 43% of the time
  • If Real Madrid score first, they win 87% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals0.6 – 1.8
Over 2.544%
Both teams score40%
Likeliest score0-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
113%7.63X22%4.60265%1.53
Double chance
1X35%2.87X287%1.151278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.544%2.29Under 2.556%1.77BTTS yes40%2.51BTTS no60%1.66

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Getafe · Columns: Real Madrid0-1 probability 15.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Real Madrid – Getafe2 March 20260-1
Getafe – Real Madrid19 October 20250-1
Getafe – Real Madrid23 April 20250-1
Real Madrid – Getafe1 December 20242-0
Getafe – Real Madrid1 February 20240-2
Real Madrid – Getafe2 September 20232-1