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La Liga · Matchday 32Sunday 18 April · 16:00 · Estadio Abanca-Riazor
Deportivo8th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Celta Vigo10th place
DEP 39%X 30%CEL 32%

Prediction

  • If Deportivo score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Celta Vigo score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.1
Over 2.543%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Deportivo win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.57X30%3.39232%3.17
Double chance
1X68%1.46X261%1.641270%1.42
Goals
Over 2.543%2.35Under 2.557%1.74BTTS yes49%2.03BTTS no51%1.97

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Deportivo · Columns: Celta Vigo1-1 probability 14.0%

Form

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