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La Liga · Matchday 32Sunday 18 April · 16:00 · Estadio Martínez Valero
Elche17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Osasuna15th place
ELC 44%X 28%OSA 28%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Elche 1.6 points per game, Osasuna 0.8.
  • If Elche score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Osasuna score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.550%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Elche win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.26X28%3.60228%3.57
Double chance
1X72%1.39X256%1.791272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.550%2.01Under 2.550%1.99BTTS yes54%1.85BTTS no46%2.18

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Elche · Columns: Osasuna1-1 probability 13.0%

Form

Compare →
ElcheWDDWL
OsasunaLDLWL

Head to head

Elche – Osasuna13 February 20260-0
Osasuna – Elche25 September 20251-1
Osasuna – Elche8 April 20232-1
Elche – Osasuna22 January 20231-1
Elche – Osasuna1 May 20221-1
Osasuna – Elche29 November 20211-1