TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Premier League · Matchday 8Saturday 24 October · 15:00 · Emirates Stadium
Arsenal1st place
Full time2-0Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✓ Result correct
Everton14th place
ARS 63%X 23%EVE 13%

What does the market say?

ArsenalDrawEvertonRinvalo63%23%13%
Market66%21%13%

✓ Agree · both back Arsenal

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • Arsenal lead by 156 rating points.
  • Arsenal take 2.7 points per game at home.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Arsenal 1.0, Everton 0.0.
  • If Arsenal score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Everton score first, they win 44% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.8 – 0.7
Over 2.544%
Both teams score41%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
163%1.58X23%4.30213%7.55
Double chance
1X87%1.15X237%2.741277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.544%2.29Under 2.556%1.77BTTS yes41%2.45BTTS no59%1.69

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Arsenal · Columns: Everton2-0 probability 13.8% · final score

Form

Compare →
ArsenalLWWWW
EvertonDWDLL

Head to head

Arsenal – Everton24 October 20262-0
Arsenal – Everton14 March 20262-0
Everton – Arsenal20 December 20250-1
Everton – Arsenal5 April 20251-1
Arsenal – Everton14 December 20240-0
Arsenal – Everton19 May 20242-1