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Premier League · Matchday 8Friday 23 October · 20:00 · Portman Road
Ipswich Town14th place
Full time1-1Rinvalo's pick: 1-2✕ Missed
Nottingham Forest19th place
IPS 25%X 26%NFO 49%

What does the market say?

Ipswich TownDrawNottingham ForestRinvalo25%26%49%
Market31%27%41%

✓ Agree · both back Nottingham Forest

Prediction

Predicted: 1-2
Key factors
  • Nottingham Forest lead by 150 rating points.
  • If Ipswich Town score first, they win 54% of the time
  • If Nottingham Forest score first, they win 75% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.7
Over 2.555%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Nottingham Forest win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
125%4.00X26%3.86249%2.04
Double chance
1X51%1.96X275%1.331274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.555%1.83Under 2.545%2.20BTTS yes57%1.76BTTS no43%2.32

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Ipswich Town · Columns: Nottingham Forest1-1 probability 12.1% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Ipswich Town – Nottingham Forest23 October 20261-1
Ipswich Town – Nottingham Forest15 March 20252-4
Nottingham Forest – Ipswich Town30 November 20241-0