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Premier League · Matchday 8Saturday 24 October · 15:00 · The Coventry Building Society Arena
Coventry City16th place
Full time0-1Rinvalo's pick: 0-1✓ Exact score
Fulham15th place
COV 28%X 28%FUL 44%

What does the market say?

Coventry CityDrawFulhamRinvalo28%28%44%
Market31%27%42%

✓ Agree · both back Fulham

Prediction

Predicted: 0-1
Key factors
  • Fulham lead by 72 rating points.
  • If Coventry City score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Fulham score first, they win 73% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.3
Over 2.542%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Fulham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
128%3.54X28%3.55244%2.29
Double chance
1X56%1.77X272%1.391272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.542%2.41Under 2.558%1.71BTTS yes48%2.09BTTS no52%1.91

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Coventry City · Columns: Fulham0-1 probability 11.9% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Coventry City – Fulham24 October 20260-1
Fulham – Coventry City10 April 20221-3
Coventry City – Fulham2 October 20214-1