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Premier League · Matchday 8Sunday 25 October · 14:00 · Old Trafford
Manchester United17th place
Full time0-3Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✕ Missed
Bournemouth8th place
MUN 51%X 26%BOU 23%

What does the market say?

Manchester UnitedDrawBournemouthRinvalo51%26%23%
Market45%26%29%

✓ Agree · both back Manchester United

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • Manchester United take 2.4 points per game at home.
  • If Manchester United score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Bournemouth score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.1
Over 2.555%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Manchester United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
151%1.97X26%3.83223%4.32
Double chance
1X77%1.30X249%2.031274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.555%1.81Under 2.545%2.23BTTS yes57%1.76BTTS no43%2.32

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Manchester United · Columns: Bournemouth0-3 probability 1.4% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Manchester United – Bournemouth25 October 20260-3
Bournemouth – Manchester United20 March 20262-2
Manchester United – Bournemouth15 December 20254-4
Bournemouth – Manchester United27 April 20251-1
Manchester United – Bournemouth22 December 20240-3
Bournemouth – Manchester United13 April 20242-2