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Premier League · Matchday 8Sunday 25 October · 14:00 · Selhurst Park
Crystal Palace18th place
Full time0-2Rinvalo's pick: 1-2✓ Result correct
Newcastle United13th place
CRY 36%X 28%NEW 36%

What does the market say?

Crystal PalaceDrawNewcastle UnitedRinvalo36%28%36%
Market33%26%41%

✓ Agree · both back Newcastle United

Prediction

Predicted: 1-2
Key factors
  • Newcastle United lead by 62 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Newcastle United 1.6 points per game, Crystal Palace 0.8.
  • If Crystal Palace score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Newcastle United score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.4
Over 2.554%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Newcastle United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.78X28%3.61236%2.75
Double chance
1X64%1.57X264%1.561272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.554%1.85Under 2.546%2.17BTTS yes58%1.71BTTS no42%2.40

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Crystal Palace · Columns: Newcastle United0-2 probability 5.9% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Crystal Palace – Newcastle United25 October 20260-2
Crystal Palace – Newcastle United12 April 20262-1
Newcastle United – Crystal Palace4 January 20262-0
Newcastle United – Crystal Palace16 April 20255-0
Crystal Palace – Newcastle United30 November 20241-1
Crystal Palace – Newcastle United24 April 20242-0