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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Premier League · Matchday 8Sunday 25 October · 14:00 · Anfield
Liverpool5th place
Full time2-0Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✓ Result correct
Brighton3rd place
LIV 41%X 27%BHA 32%

What does the market say?

LiverpoolDrawBrightonRinvalo41%27%32%
Market45%25%30%

✓ Agree · both back Liverpool

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
  • If Liverpool score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Brighton score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.4
Over 2.557%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Liverpool win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
141%2.42X27%3.68232%3.17
Double chance
1X69%1.46X259%1.701273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.557%1.75Under 2.543%2.34BTTS yes61%1.65BTTS no39%2.53

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Liverpool · Columns: Brighton2-0 probability 6.5% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Liverpool – Brighton25 October 20262-0
Brighton – Liverpool21 March 20262-1
Liverpool – Brighton13 December 20252-0
Brighton – Liverpool19 May 20253-2
Liverpool – Brighton2 November 20242-1
Liverpool – Brighton31 March 20242-1