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Premier League · Matchday 8Sunday 25 October · 16:30 · Stadium of Light
Sunderland20th place
Full time0-0Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✕ Missed
Leeds United12th place
SUN 37%X 29%LEE 34%

What does the market say?

SunderlandDrawLeeds UnitedRinvalo37%29%34%
Market31%29%40%

⚠ Split · Rinvalo Sunderland 37%, market Leeds United 40%

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
  • If Sunderland score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Leeds United score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.544%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Sunderland win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.68X29%3.47234%2.96
Double chance
1X66%1.51X263%1.601271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.544%2.27Under 2.556%1.79BTTS yes50%1.98BTTS no50%2.02

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sunderland · Columns: Leeds United0-0 probability 9.6% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Sunderland – Leeds United25 October 20260-0
Leeds United – Sunderland3 March 20260-1
Sunderland – Leeds United28 December 20251-1
Leeds United – Sunderland17 February 20252-1
Sunderland – Leeds United4 October 20242-2
Leeds United – Sunderland9 April 20240-0