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Premier League · Matchday 8Sunday 25 October · 14:00 · The MKM Stadium
Hull City11th place
Full time1-1Rinvalo's pick: 0-1✕ Missed
Brentford6th place
HUL 27%X 28%BRE 45%

What does the market say?

Hull CityDrawBrentfordRinvalo27%28%45%
Market20%24%56%

✓ Agree · both back Brentford

Prediction

Predicted: 0-1
Key factors
  • Brentford lead by 91 rating points.
  • If Hull City score first, they win 60% of the time
  • If Brentford score first, they win 74% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.4
Over 2.543%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Brentford win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
127%3.68X28%3.54245%2.24
Double chance
1X55%1.80X273%1.371272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.543%2.33Under 2.557%1.75BTTS yes49%2.05BTTS no51%1.95

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Hull City · Columns: Brentford1-1 probability 13.7% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Hull City – Brentford25 October 20261-1