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Premier League · Matchday 26Saturday 20 February · 15:00 · Emirates Stadium
Arsenal1st place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Fulham15th place
ARS 66%X 22%FUL 12%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Arsenal lead by 213 rating points.
  • Arsenal take 2.7 points per game at home.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Arsenal 0.9, Fulham 0.3.
  • If Arsenal score first, they win 87% of the time
  • If Fulham score first, they win 41% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.9 – 0.6
Over 2.546%
Both teams score41%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
166%1.51X22%4.56212%8.59
Double chance
1X88%1.13X234%2.981278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.546%2.18Under 2.554%1.85BTTS yes41%2.46BTTS no59%1.69

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Arsenal · Columns: Fulham1-0 probability 14.5%

Form

Compare →
ArsenalLWWWW
FulhamDLWWD

Head to head

Arsenal – Fulham2 May 20263-0
Fulham – Arsenal18 October 20250-1
Arsenal – Fulham1 April 20252-1
Fulham – Arsenal8 December 20241-1
Fulham – Arsenal31 December 20232-1
Arsenal – Fulham26 August 20232-2